Mar 29, 2007 (CIDRAP Source Weekly Briefing) – A severe influenza pandemic could cost the United States $683 billion and plunge the American economy into the second-deepest recession since World War II, a nonprofit health advocacy group warned on Mar 22.If rates of illness and death match those of the great pandemic of 1918—when one third of the population fell ill and 2.5% of those who were sickened died—US production of goods and services could shrink 5.5% in a year, according to an analysis released by the Trust for America’s Health (TFAH).States whose economies depend on tourism and entertainment would be hit hardest, with losses as large as 8% of their economic production, the group said. But areas that depend on sectors such as agriculture and finance might hold their losses to half that much, according to the report, “Pandemic Flu and Potential for US Economic Recession.” “Businesses, governments, schools, and other sectors could all face serious disruptions,” said Jeff Levi, PhD, executive director of the TFAH, a Washington, DC–based nonpartisan group that has published several reports on pandemic preparedness.The report relies on the economic models and assumptions made by the Congressional Budget Office, the Australian National University, and BMO Nesbitt Burns Cooper, a Canadian investment firm. It combines predictions of death rates and loss of productivity with estimates of the impact on 20 different business sectors.Demand for arts, entertainment, and recreation is likely to drop by 80%, the report estimates, compared with 67% for transportation and warehousing and 10% for agriculture, mining, construction, manufacturing, finance, and education.It is the first pandemic economic forecast to break down potential impact by state, Levi said. The hardest-hit states are likely to be those whose economies rely on entertainment, tourism, and food service, the report says. Nevada would fare the worst, followed by Hawaii, Alaska, Wyoming, and Nebraska.The states at the lowest risk of major losses would be those with diverse economies, as well as those that depend on the services most likely to be in use during a pandemic, such as healthcare and government. Leading the list of least-affected places are Washington, DC, Maryland, Virginia, New York, and Massachusetts.The TFAH recommends a menu of actions to mitigate a pandemic’s economic impact, from improving state pandemic plans to encouraging continuity planning for business sectors as well as individual businesses. —Based on reporting by Maryn McKennaComments from the Editor-in-Chief:There are a number of ways to measure the impact of the next pandemic, such as the number of deaths, illnesses, and hospitalizations; worker absenteeism; and the number of flights cancelled at a given airport. Obviously, human illness and death are the most meaningful markers. But the direct and indirect economic costs of the next pandemic are also critical considerations in assessing its impact and for establishing some sense of priority for our preparedness efforts, both in the private and public sectors. The reality is that businesses today must weigh the costs of preventing and preparing for bad things to happen against both their economic impact and their potential to harm employees and their families. I will be the first to admit, though, that I often get lost in some of these complicated economic models detailing the costs of catastrophic events. I can’t tell if they make real sense or not. But the report from the TFAH was clear and compelling to even a noneconomist like me. The disease-occurrence assumptions made in the report seemed very reasonable from an epidemiologic and public health perspective. The analysis of sector-by-sector pandemic impact may not be quite right—like how many crops will we plant and harvest if petroleum is in short supply. But the general sense of what could happen is straightforward.Bottom line for business: If you are part of your company’s pandemic preparedness team (even if you are the only one), get very familiar with these data and use them to make your case as to why a substantial investment in preparedness is as smart as buying appropriate insurance for your company’s buildings. With fire insurance, you hope that you’ll never have to use it even if you pay 50 years’ worth of premiums. With pandemic preparedness, there’s a key difference: There will be another pandemic.Your investment in preparedness will never be wasted, even if the pandemic is not as severe as the one in 1918. Make sure your boss reads this report—or at least its summary. It’s a critical tool for your pandemic preparedness toolbox. —Michael Osterholm
Learn more about climate law options Many say the Green New Deal is unattainable and “anyone who signs on without nailing down specifics will be slammed” (Jennifer Rubin Washington Post). The Green New Deal is a climate emergency response plan that provides a plan to move away from our addiction to fossil fuels by 2030.However, the Green New Deal will change every aspect of the way we currently live in a joyful way if we let it.Unfortunately, the Green New Deal cannot be legislated because it mandates such a broad spectrum of goals that will need to be applied across the country in different ways by 2030.The time associated with legislating an economically sensitive, geographically diverse and market responsive climate emergency plan would be putting us on a path to oblivion.Currently, there are several versions of the Green New Deal at the state level and one at the federal level.Climate change threatens life as we know it on this planet and we need to be certain we get the strongest climate change legislation possible. Categories: Letters to the Editor, OpinionOpen minds are cure for white supremacyWhite supremacy seems to be a large epidemic in this country, one no doctor can cure.Only people can cure it, by having an open mind and heart for all people.Rachael WilkinsonSaratoga Springs Nisky needs action on its fund balance Writer wrong about background checksMartha Harausz’s March 17 letter shows that she is well educated and good at creative writing. However, it would be better if she used her talents to preserve the U.S. Constitution instead of creating fiction to try and tear it down. Her assertion that you can buy a firearm without a background check at a gun show, off the internet is patently false.Perhaps she should attempt to buy a firearm this way herself to test it. Eugene SpicerSchenectady Now is the time to familiarize yourself with the various options and leverage your support. As 15-year-old climate activist Greta Thunberg says, she is not looking for hope from adults; she looking for action like the house is on fire. Gary J. Lessard Schenectady In watching the recent Niskayuna Town Board meeting, Supervisor Yasmine Syed’s presentation on establishing a fund balance policy surprised me.While I was glad to see the supervisor take an interest in improving her understanding of the position’s responsibilities, I was frustrated that the presentation didn’t seem to propose a recommendation for moving forward on something that has been discussed for several months. It simply reviewed basic fiscal policy points available from the comptroller. From the coverage I’ve seen, despite her experience as a budget analyst, the Town Board members were the first to suggest this prudent fiscal move after the supervisor attempted to spend reserve funds in her proposed budget.While we may be in good times today, we won’t always be, and we should prepare ourselves for that likelihood.The Town Board’s leadership on this issue is just one more example of the value of professional government experience that has guided Niskayuna in recent years and led me to move to this town. I hope with this policy and in future years, the Town Board will continue their track record of keeping taxes low while continuing to provide quality resident services and adequate recognition for the town’s workforce.Ben SpearNiskayunaMore from The Daily Gazette:Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s press conference for Sunday, Oct. 18Cuomo calls for clarity on administering vaccineEDITORIAL: Thruway tax unfair to working motoristsFoss: Should main downtown branch of the Schenectady County Public Library reopen?EDITORIAL: Beware of voter intimidation
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ALS-O J Brigance opposes Maryland’s right-to-die bill Former Super Bowel Baltimore Ravensstate saying: ‘Your life is not worth living.’”
Batesville, IN – The Redevelopment Commission meeting scheduled for this evening in the Batesville Memorial Building is canceled.
Scrum-half Marmion’s fifth try of the RaboDirect PRO12 campaign came in a Connacht-dominated first half which ended 24-6 in their favour. Fionn Carr and John Muldoon also touched down before the break, and in a rain-lashed second period captain Muldoon scored once more from a successful lineout maul and returning number eight Eoin McKeon added a fifth try late on in a 38-6 triumph. The heavy wind and rain disrupted both sides on the resumption, a crooked lineout throw spoiling a good opportunity for Connacht and a Treviso scrum was pushed backwards just when the visitors looked set to pounce for a try. The worsening conditions meant Connacht had to show patience in their pursuit of try number four, with a Carr run and a lineout steal by Andrew Browne getting them back into scoring range. Parks kicked a scrum penalty to the corner and Muldoon was driven over from a 63rd-minute lineout maul to register the bonus point. Parks’ conversion widened the margin to 25 points. The Italian side’s woes were compounded by yellow cards for replacement prop Ignacio Fernandez-Rouyet (69 minutes) and number eight Marco Filippucci (70), the former seeing yellow for a high tackle on Marmion. McKeon then marked his return from injury by breaking off a close-in scrum for a final try which Parks’ replacement Miah Nikora converted. It was Connacht’s third straight league win and a second successive bonus-point victory – a tremendous turnaround after the deflation of January’s Heineken Cup hammering by Saracens. The Irish side entered this block of four league games at the bottom of the table, but they have now leapfrogged Zebre, Treviso and latterly Cardiff Blues to sit ninth overall. Beaten 23-3 by Treviso back in October, Pat Lam’s men hit the front after five minutes in Galway when Carr ran in a converted effort after good work by Robbie Henshaw and Eoin Griffin. Mat Berquist responded with a penalty but Connacht pressed home their early advantage, a well-orchestrated maul giving Muldoon the opportunity to crash over for a second seven-pointer. Connacht’s discipline slipped again in allowing Berquist to make it 14-6, but Parks – whose control of proceedings earned him the man-of-the-match honour – soon cancelled out those three points. Ireland hopeful Marmion grabbed a try against Zebre last Sunday and he repeated the trick by dummying his way through a gap to score, with Treviso’s calls for obstruction dismissed by referee Leighton Hodges. Parks’ successful conversion put 18 points between the sides, but one area that was letting Connacht down was their usually reliable scrum. The Italian set-piece powered through to force a late penalty but Berquist’s kick was off target. Kieran Marmion marked his 50th provincial cap with a try as Connacht ran out comfortable bonus-point winners over Benetton Treviso at the Sportsground. Press Association
“It’s a mirror, Leicester and Watford,” Ranieri said. “Like us, they are strong and they play very well in counter attack and press a lot.” Watford have improved in recent weeks and last week defeated a West Ham team which had a week before beaten champions Chelsea. Ranieri is wary, with the Hornets improving under Quique Sanchez Flores, who succeeded the Italian at Valencia 10 years ago. Of course the Foxes are improving too under Ranieri, who succeeded Nigel Pearson last summer. The former Chelsea boss said: “Now arrives a very particular team. “In the last six matches away they were very, very strong (losing once). Be careful. Beware. “They are at the beginning, because they’ve been working together for three months. They I’m sure will get better. Leicester boss Claudio Ranieri believes there are startling similarities between his side and Saturday’s opponents Watford. “They started not so well at the beginning. It’s normal (when you) change the coach, change a lot of players. “Now they are in very good condition. It will be a very interesting match.” Leicester have relied on second-half rallies of late and Ranieri says that is only natural in the nature of the Premier League. “We try to start very well, but of course at the beginning all the matches are a little more tactical and slowly, slowly arrives English football,” he said. “It’s more open, box to box, all the matches, then it’s an open match and anything could happen.” The Foxes are third after six wins and one loss in their opening 11 games ahead of Saturday’s clash with the Hornets at the King Power Stadium. Leicester have a strong home record – their only defeats in 12 at home have been against title-chasing Chelsea last term and Arsenal – while Watford have one loss in six away from Vicarage Road, at Manchester City. Press Association
For all the Latest Sports News News, Cricket News News, Download News Nation Android and iOS Mobile Apps. Lauderhill : Captain Virat Kohli on Saturday described fast bowler Navdeep Saini as a raw talent who has a bright future after he made an impressive India debut in the four wicket win over West Indies in the first T20 International here. The 26-year-old Saini claimed three wickets for 17 runs to help India restrict the West Indies to 95 for 9 after being put to bat. India then chased down the target with 2.4 overs to spare for a 4-wicket win.“Yeah, Navdeep is from Delhi and he has come a long way. He plays the IPL as well and had a great season,” Kohli said at the post-match presentation ceremony.“He is a raw talent, has raw pace. He is one of them who can bowl 150 clicks and there are hardly any who bowl at that pace and he is fit. He is someone who can build a name for himself and he is hungry as well. Hopefully he builds on from here,” he added.Kohli conceded that his side would have loved to chase down the target in a better way but said that the wicket made it difficult.“Our bowling and fielding were right up there but the pitch wasn’t great. With the rain around, you could not do much. They did well to start the game on time.“The bowlers were on top throughout, variations were superb. We would have liked to chase it four down, but we wanted to take risks and take the scoreboard moving. As the ball got older, strike rotation became key,” the Indian captain said.Asked about the second T20I to be played on Sunday at the same venue, Kohli said, “It’s just about putting in solid performance and ensure the guys who play contribute in some way or the other.”West Indies captain Carlos Brathwaite said his side did not assess the conditions well. He praised Keiron Pollard who top-scored with a 49 to take West Indies near the 100-run mark.“Kudos to Kieron coming back into the team. He showed his experience. Had we made 130, it would have been a different game. We batted ourselves out of the game,” he added.“We have to play positively. The message will continue to be to keep intent, but we need to have better shot selection and awareness. Sunil Narine’s four overs very important. He showed his experience and brought us back into the game. It was a great bowling effort.”
Newsroom GuidelinesNews TipsContact UsReport an Error None went past the fifth inning in their three-game NLDS sweep of the Colorado Rockies. Instead, their deep and dominant crew of relievers – led by the three-headed monster of Josh Hader, Corey Knebel and Jeremy Jeffress – pitched more innings (15-1/3) than the starters (12-2/3).It is an upside-down approach that figures to continue against the Dodgers – though Gonzalez (4-1, 1.89 ERA in six career starts) and Miley (one unearned run allowed in 13 innings over two starts this season) do have some positive history against the Dodgers on their side.“That’s what it is – you’re using your team’s talents the best way you can to win games,” Counsell said. “For this team, we have to think about things differently because of the talents of some of the players on our team. And so, that’s all we’re trying to do.“We’re not trying to eliminate the need for great starting pitching. I mean, Randy Johnson would probably be first in my draft list. If you could pick a player for me to take in the series, I’d say him in a heartbeat. It would be nice to have him.”Kershaw would probably be high on that draft list as well and the Dodgers do have him – and Ryu (who will start Game 2 this time around) and rookie flamethrower Walker Buehler (slated to start Game 3 in L.A.) and curveball artiste Rich Hill (Game 4). It puts the Dodgers in an odd position. The Brewers are the innovators, applying cutting-edge concepts – even creating a new phrase for it “the initial out-getter” – to maximize what they have while the Dodgers and their state-of-the-art analytics department are the traditionalists, looking to ride the arms of their starters as long as possible.“If it works, it’s great,” Kershaw said of the “bullpenning” approach that has spread throughout baseball and now reaches it’s most aggressive postseason iteration in the Brewers, winners of 11 in a row. “I’m kind of a traditionalist. But when it comes down to the postseason, you just have to win games. … It’s probably tough to sustain for a full season.“I like pitching every fifth day. I like pitching deep into the games. Yeah, you know – ideally I’d like to finish them. That doesn’t happen very much. But as a starting pitcher, you kind of take pride in innings and being out there.”During their march to Game 7 of the World Series last October, the Dodgers had less reason to be confident in their starting pitchers (particularly when Yu Darvish shriveled on the big stage) and moved on from them quickly. Only four times in 15 postseason games did a Dodgers starter pitch past the fifth inning (only once in the World Series). Seven times the starter didn’t even complete five innings.By contrast, Roberts went to his most reliable setup man, Brandon Morrow, 14 times in 15 postseason games and his closer, Kenley Jansen, 13 times (five times for more than an inning).The resources at Roberts’ disposal are different this year, with the starting pitching giving him the most obvious upper hand in this matchup.“I like our starting pitching,” he said. “I like the arms. I like the way they’re performing.”He has good reason to. Over their last 59 games – the final 55 of the regular season (including Game 163) plus the NLDS – Dodgers starting pitchers have a 2.96 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP while averaging nearly six innings per start.So the Dodgers have every reason to trust the old formula and hope they can get a lead before the Brewers roll out their relief assassins. If they don’t, they have not been a good comeback team this year – they were 9-52 when trailing after six innings during the regular season – and the Brewers could strangle their chances in the second half of games.“I think it’s good – until it’s not,” Roberts said of the innovative, aggressive use of relievers that has been hailed as the next new thing. “So with these guys (the Brewers), it’s worked out. But it’s still hard to bet against good quality starting pitching, for me.” MILWAUKEE — Is it evolution – or de-evolution, baseball returning to its base element, the need to get 27 outs more effectively than the other team?The National League Championship Series pits a Dodgers team with so many strong starting pitching options they chose Hyun-Jin Ryu to open their Division Series over Clayton Kershaw – and got 15 scoreless innings from the two – versus a Milwaukee Brewers team that has such weak starting options they chose a rookie reliever (Brandon Woodruff) as an “opener” in Game 1 of their NLDS.“Look – it’s no secret that we’re going to use our pitching a little differently than the traditionalists would like,” Brewers manager Craig Counsell said even as he announced three “traditional” starters for the NLCS – left-handers Gio Gonzalez and Wade Miley in the first two games at Miller Park, right-hander Jhoulys Chacin for Game 3 in Los Angeles.But it comes with a caveat – Chacin could relieve Gonzalez in Game 1, allowing the Brewers to flip what they expect to be a right-handed-heavy Dodgers lineup against Gonzalez before going to their bullpen. And it’s questionable how deep into a game any Brewers starter will pitch in this series.